Is the luxury real estate market in a slowing trend or has it simply normalized?
News media across North America has created its own winter storm regarding the luxury real estate market. Headlines are clashing with each other from the New York Times claiming that the luxury market is in a funk to BNN stating that it will bounce back but at a slower pace, while Forbes recommends watching the top luxury trends as the barometer that eventually affects the rest of the real estate market.
Certainly, the overall market has slowed down since the end of 2017, but only in comparison to the fast pace of the previous 10 years when inventory levels fluctuated, and buyer demand outpaced available homes. If we look at the statistics over the last 13 months, both the median price point and the days on market, of homes sold, have remained fairly consistent, and it is only the increasing inventory that is causing a shift in the balance from a seller’s market to a buyer’s market.
Looking at these statistics with an eye on the first few months of 2019 it is clear that inventory levels are still growing. However, this is to be expected as we transition from the winter market towards spring – with inventory remaining in the popular winter destinations where the season hasn’t quite finished coupled with the growing anticipation and recommendation by Realtors to get ahead of the Spring Rush!
The illustrative graphs on the following page reinforce the marked stability of the luxury market over the last 13 months. Reviewing inventory levels* for the single-family luxury market, availability ranges from approximately 33,500 to upwards of 42,400 properties in any given month; however, these fluctuations are actually in line with seasonal shifts.
The luxury attached home market showcases an almost perfect visual for a stable market, with the only drama being a significant increase in the number of days on market during January 2019. But this was an anomaly as numbers fell back within expected parameters in February 2019.